World-System (1700-Present) Political Change and The French Republics

 

Political Change in France since the late 1700s has been solidified by the creation of new Republics (I-V) triggered by specific crises. The graphic above plots the overall French growth component, FR1, with the Five Republics and their durations. A Sixth French Republic is being proposed as a successor to the current Fifth Republic to correct perceived systemic problems (see Notes below).

Formation of each prior Republics had been triggered by a specific crisis (see ChatGPT table above). It would be reasonable to assume that any Sixth Republic would also need to be triggered by a crisis.

Notes

FR (0-2000) Measurement Matrix

The FR1 index (0-2000) is a relatively equal weighting of seven indicator variables based on the Kaya Identity. The FR2 and FR3 index Capture Historical Controllers for the French Economy. FR2 = (Q-X) - (N-U+HOURS+L), a Malthusian Export Employment Controller and FR3 = (Q+U-HOURS-X), an Urban Production Employment Controller. 

For descriptions about how the state variables and models are constricted, see the Boiler Plate.

ChatGPT Chronology

Here is the Chronology produced by ChatGPT with notation.